Sure, a few bleeding-edge hobbyists are jumping into HD now, but when, if ever, will HD become THE standard? As a wedding/event videographer who's not willing to plop down fifteen grand lightly (except for a boat), it's a heavy question.
Take a look in Best Buy, WalMart, etc. You still see standard 4:3 TVs. In fact, you see more of them than widescreens. Now, you gotta figure that these guys know their market, and by their inventory, they are saying that HD isn't "here" just yet.
My brother-in-law has a huge HD TV, but no HD content (even though he lives in Dallas). Watching a football game on that screen - stretched like a fun-house mirror image - is painful. "Bob, how can you tell which artifact-blob is the ball?" "Just watch for the little blob that the wide, bigger blobs chase after."
Remember, back in the seventies when our government was going to have us all switch to the metric system? Well, with all the fuss about fuel economy going on right now, just how many of you can tell me how many liters per kilometer you're getting? (Or is it, "how many centimeters per celcius?" No, wait, I think it's...)
Come'on, sheez - they're still selling black and white TVs, and out here in Oklahoma, people are still watching them - that is, the ones who don't gather 'round the floor-model radio!
For a wedding videographer to go HD, he's got to buy at least two cameras ($6000), a new software suite ($2000), new animations ($??? - still not available in 16:9), upgrade the computer system & monitors ($2000), at least two burners ($2000) and a decent big screen to view the finished product on ($3000). I haven't even gotten into the incidentals, like new fur muffs, rain covers, new steadicam for the heavier cameras, etc., etc.
The demand just isn't there (at least, not here in Oklahoma) to justify this investment, though it would provide a dandy refund next April.
Seriously, how many event videographers have gone HD? (1 in 10 maybe?) and how many of their clients are requesting HD? (1 in 100 maybe?)
I think I'm going to wait until they're making SUVs that can get 50 millimeters to the celcius!